Value Added Tax and Economic Growth of Nigeria (2003-2022)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33003/fujafr-2024.v2i1.74.16-30Keywords:
Value Added Tax, Total Federal Government Expenditure, Total Federal Government Revenue , Economic Growth, NigeriaAbstract
This study empirically examined the relationship between value added tax and economic growth of Nigeria. Time series data on Value Added Tax (VAT) revenue, Total (Federal Government) Revenue (TR), Total (Federal Government) Expenditure (TE) and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from 2003 to 2022 sourced from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) were analysed, using both simple regression analysis and descriptive statistical method. VAT was used as the independent variable while TR, TE and GDP were used as the dependent variables. Findings showed that VAT revenue accounts for a significant variation in TR, TE and GDP in Nigeria. A very significant and positive correlation also exist between VAT revenue and TE but that the contribution of VAT to TE cannot be directly traceable to any specific expenditure of government like health, education or payment of salaries. The study therefore recommends that government should use a certain percentage of VAT revenue to finance critical sectors of the economy like agriculture, power or health which have direct bearing on the citizens. This can be achieved by establishing a Value Added Tax Fund (VATFund) as is the case with Tertiary Education Trust Fund (TETFund) and other Trust Funds of government.
References
Abiola, J. & Asiweh, M. (2012). Impact of tax administration on government revenue in a developing economy- a case of Nigeria. International Journal of Business and Social Sciences. 3(8), 99-112.
Adegbie, F.F. & Fakile, A.S. (2011). Company income tax and Nigeria economic development. European Journal of Social Sciences. 22(2), 309-319.
Adereti, S.A., Adesina, J.A. & Sanni, M.R. (2011). Value added tax and economic growth of Nigeria. European Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences. 10 (1), 456-471.
Ajaikaye, D.O. (2000). Macroeconomic effects of VAT in Nigeria: A computable general equilibrium analysis. Journal of Public Economics, 36, 305-321.
Akpo, O. (2009). The people as government: imperatives of tax payment. A paper presented at the 1st Akwa Ibom State Revenue Summit, April 6&7, 2009.
Alabede, J.O., Ariffin, Z.Z. & Idris, K.M. (2011). Individual taxpayers’ attitude and compliance behaviour in Nigeria: the moderating role of financial condition and risk preference. Journal of Accounting and Taxation. 3(5).
Basila, D. (2010). Investigating the relationship between VAT and GDP in Nigerian economy. Journal of Management and Corporate Governance. 2, 11-19.
Berenson, I. & Levine, M. (1999). Basic Business Statistics: Concepts and Applications. New Delhi: Prentice Hall of India Pvt Ltd.
Carlson, G.N. & Patrick, M.K. (1989). Addressing the regressivity of a value added tax. National Tax Journal. 42(3), 22-35.
Chigbu, E. E. & Ali, P. I. (2014). Econometric Analysis of the Impact of Value Added Tax on Economic Growth in Nigeria. European Journal of Business and Management, 6(18), 31-36
Cole, A. A., Aroyewuni, B. O., Soetan, A. S. & Akintola, A. F. (2021). Value Added Tax and Economic Growth in Nigeria 2004-2018. American Journal of Multidisciplinary Research & Development (AJMRD), 3(12), 9-13.
Cummings, R.G., Martinez-Vazquez, J., Mckee, M. & Torgler, B. (2009). Tax morale affects tax compliance: evidence from surveys and an artefactual field experiment. Journal of Economic Behaviour and Organization, 447-457.
Edame, G.E. & Akpan, V.E. (2013). An empirical analysis of the structure and growth of federal government expenditure in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. 4(15).
Egolum, P.U., & Ugonabo, C. U. (2021). The effect of value added tax on economic development in Nigeria (1994-2018). Journal of Humanities and Social Science, 26(5), 21-30.
Emmanuel, U.C. (2013). The effects of value added tax (VAT) on the economic growth of Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. 4 (6), 1-9.
Fasoranti, M.M. (2013). Tax productivity and economic growth. Lorem Journal of Business and Economics (LJBE). 1(1).
Federal Inland Revenue Service (1993). Information Circular, No. 9304. Abuja, Nigeria.
Greene, J.E. (2011). Public finance: An international perspective. Hackensack: New Jersey.
Holy Bible: Luke 19:2 (1984). New King James Version. England: International Bible Society Africa.
Harvest, M. I., & Ataisi, F. F.(2022). Value added tax and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Management, Accounting and Human Development, 11(1), 20-32.
Igbonyi, I.S. (2008). Principles and practices of taxation in Nigeria. Jos: Eiwa Ventures Nigeria Limited.
Ishlahi, A.A. (2006). Ibn Khaldun’s Theory of Taxation and Its Relevance Today. Spain: The Islamic Research and Training Institute.
Kanu, S.I., Ozurumba, B.A. & Ihemeje, J. (2014). Examining the relationship between federal government of Nigeria’s revenue and expenditure profiles. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 5(4), 28-38.
Kiely, R. (2001). The last refuge of the noble savage? A critical assessment of post-development theory. European Journal of Development Research, 11(1)., 33-55.
Laffer, A. (2004). The Laffer Curve: the past, present and future. Heritage Foundation, 1-16.
Micah, L.C., Ebere, C. & Umobong, A.A. (2012). Tax system in Nigeria- Challenges and the way forward. Research Journal of Finance and Accounting, 3(5), 9-15.
Naiyeju, J.K. (1996). Improving the tax system from Canadian experience. Lagos: Wordsmith Printing and Packaging Limited.
Nordhaus, W.D. (1998). Reflections on the concept of sustainable economic growth. Cowles foundation for research in economics at Yale University. Cowles Foundation Paper No. 951.
Obaretin, O., & Uwaifo, F. N. (2020). Value added tax and economic development in Nigeria. Accounting and Taxation Review, 4(1), 148-157.
Odu, V. C. (2022). Value-added tax, revenue generation and economic growth in Nigeria. Accounting and Taxation Review, 6(1), 10-28.
Odunsi, O. T. (2022). Value added tax, revenue generation and growth in Nigeria. Journal of Social & Management Sciences, 3(1), 201-211.
Ogbonna, G.N. & Ebimobowei, A. (2012). Impact of tax reforms and economic growth of Nigeria: a time series analysis. Current Research Journal of Social Sciences, 4(1), 62-68.
Okele, (2003). VATEX, CITN boss Canvasses introduction of indirect taxes. The Guardian newspaper, Wednesday October 29th 2003.
Okoye, E.I. & Gbegi, D.O. (2013). Effective value added tax: an imperative for wealth creation in Nigeria. Global Journal of Management and Business Research, 13(1), 90-100.
Okoyeuzu, C. (2013). Value added tax remittance: observations from developing country. Global Journal of Management and Business Research Finance, 13(9), 8-14.
Olarotimi, O. T. (2022). Dynamic impact of value added tax on economic grwoth in Nigeria. Journal of Research in Humanities and Social Sciences, 9(5), 24-28.
Olatunji, O.C. (2009). A review of value added tax (VAT) administration in Nigeria. Medwell Journals of International Business Management,3 (4), 61-68.
Olatunji, O.C. (2013). Value added tax (VAT) and inflation in Nigeria (1990-2003). Asian Journal of Humanities and Social Sciences (AJHSS), 1 (1), 123-130.
Oldman, O. & Woods, I.O. (1994). Value added tax concepts. London: Prentice Hall International.
Onoja, E. E., & Ibrahim, A. S. (2020). Tax revenue and Nigeria economic growth. European Journal of Social Sciences, 3(1), 30-44.
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (2013). OECD Factbook: Economic, environmental and social statistics.
Oserogho & Associates (2008). Legal Alerts: March 2008 VAT and Foreign Non-Residents in Nigeria. Assessed from https://www.oseroghoassociates.com/pdf/2008_03.pdf.
Owolabi, S.A. & Okwu, A. T. (2011). Empirical evaluation of contribution of value added tax to Development of Lagos state economy. Euro Journals of Middle Eastern Finance and Economics, 9, 137-142.
Sanni, A. (2012). Current law and practice of value added tax in Nigeria. British Journal of Arts and Social Sciences, 5 (2), 1-12.
Shalizi, Z. & Squire, L. (1988). Consumption taxes in sub-Saharan Africa: Building on existing instruments. In Gillis, M., Shour, C.S. & Sicat, G.P. (eds.). Value added taxation in developing countries. The World Bank: Washington DC.
Somorin, T. (2010). Tax evasion in Africa: kinds of evasion, how to control it- the Nigerian experience. African training and research center in administration for development.
Tabansi, A.C.O. (2001). Nigerian taxation for students. Enugu: A.C. Ochiogu publishers limited.
Tait, A. (1989). Value added tax revenue, inflation and foreign trade balances: In Gillis, M., Shour, C.S. & Sicat, G.P. (eds.). Value added taxation in developing countries. The World Bank: Washington DC.
The Economist Nigeria (2014). N4.2trn VAT revenue boosts govt. 19-year spending.
Usman, O.A. & Adejare, A.T. (2013). Value added tax and economic growth: the Nigerian experience (1994-2010). International Journal of Research in Commerce, IT and Management. 3(3).
Value Added Tax Decree 102 (1993) Act, Cap. V1 L.F.N. 2014.
Weil, D.N. (2008). Economic growth. 2nd Edition. Addition Wesley.
Wikipedia, (2014). Gross Domestic Product. Accessed on 05/10/15.
Worlu, C.N. & Emeka, O. (2012). Tax revenue and economic development in Nigeria: A macroeconomic approach. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 1 (2). 8-15.
Zhang, A. (1996). Economic growth and human development in China. Human Development Occasional Papers, 1-41.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 FUDMA Journal of Accounting and Finance Research [FUJAFR]

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
The FUDMA Journal of Accounting and Finance Research (FUJAFR) operates a copyright policy that ensures a balance between author rights and wide dissemination of scholarly work.
1. Author Copyright Retention
Authors retain full copyright of their published work without restriction. Submission to FUJAFR does not transfer ownership of copyright to the journal.
2. License to Publish
By submitting a manuscript and upon acceptance, authors grant FUJAFR:
- The right to publish, reproduce, and distribute the article
- The right to identify itself as the original publisher of the work
This grant is non-exclusive, meaning authors are free to reuse their work in other contexts, provided proper acknowledgment of the original publication in FUJAFR is made.
3. Licensing of Published Content
All articles are published under the:
Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License (CC BY-NC 4.0)
Under this license:
- Users may share and adapt the work for non-commercial purposes only
- Proper attribution to the author(s) and the journal is required
- Any commercial use requires explicit permission from the copyright holder
4. Author Reuse Rights
Authors are permitted to:
- Archive their published articles in institutional repositories or personal websites
- Share their work for educational and research purposes
- Reuse portions of their work in future publications (e.g., books or other articles), provided proper citation of the original publication is included
5. Third-Party Content
Authors are responsible for obtaining permission to use any third-party copyrighted material (e.g., images, tables, datasets) included in their manuscripts. Proper acknowledgment must be provided where required.
6. Attribution Requirement
All users of FUJAFR content must provide appropriate credit, including:
- Author name(s)
- Article title
- Journal name (FUJAFR)
- Year of publication












